Referee: Simon Hooper
Venue: Anfield (Liverpool)
Picks
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Both teams to score – Yes
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Liverpool over 1.5 team goals
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Strand Larsen over 0.5 shots on target
The Liverpool vs Wolves fixture at Anfield presents a clear statistical and tactical narrative. Liverpool operate with dominant possession and sustained attacking pressure at home, while Wolves rely on a more direct, physical approach with limited control of the ball.
The Both Teams to Score selection is supported by Liverpool’s defensive profile. Conceding 1.5 goals per match and allowing 20.7 xG conceded, Liverpool regularly give opponents access to finishing opportunities, especially when committing numbers forward. Wolves may struggle for volume, but in a game state where Liverpool push high, a single successful attacking moment becomes realistic.
The Liverpool over 1.5 team goals pick is underpinned by consistent attacking metrics. Liverpool average 1.6 goals per match, generate 27.0 xG, rank among league leaders for touches in the opposition box (533), and produce a steady flow of corners (86). Wolves’ defensive numbers — 2.2 goals conceded per match and 25.9 xG conceded — indicate a team that absorbs heavy pressure and often breaks under sustained attacks.
The Strand Larsen shots on target market aligns with this match environment. Wolves average 2.8 shots on target per game, and much of their attacking output is concentrated through central finishing actions. Against a high defensive line and a possession-heavy opponent, a single on-target attempt from the main striker becomes statistically plausible.
Statistics table
| Category | Liverpool | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| FotMob rating | 6.97 | 6.44 |
| Goals per match | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| Average possession | 60.9% | 45.6% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | – |
| Expected goals (xG) | 27.0 | 14.9 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| Big chances | 47 | 17 |
| Big chances missed | 31 | 10 |
| Accurate passes per match | 459.6 | 310.2 |
| Accurate long balls per match | 20.2 | 25.4 |
| Accurate crosses per match | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Penalties awarded | 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box | 533 | 349 |
| Corners | 86 | 47 |
| xG conceded | 20.7 | 25.9 |
| Interceptions per match | 6.4 | 8.9 |
| Tackles per match | 13.3 | 19.9 |
| Clearances per match | 28.5 | 30.8 |
| Possession won final 3rd per match | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| Penalties conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saves per match | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Fouls per match | 10.3 | 14.4 |
| Yellow cards | 33 | 37 |
| Red cards | – | 2 |
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