Venue: Groupama Stadium
Referee: Thomas Léonard
Picks
1. Both Teams to Score – Yes
2. Over 7.5 Shots on Target
3. Over 1.5 Goals in the 2nd Half
This Lyon vs Nice clash at Groupama Stadium profiles as a high-event Ligue 1 encounter with clear attacking potential on both sides. Lyon rank among the league’s stronger teams in performance metrics, averaging 1.6 goals per match with 34.5 expected goals and a positive 10.3 xG difference. Their attacking volume and consistent chance creation make them a strong offensive presence at home.
Nice, despite ranking lower in overall rating, remain capable of contributing offensively, averaging 1.3 goals per match and 4.3 shots on target per game. However, their defensive structure shows clear vulnerability, conceding 1.8 goals per match and allowing 37.0 xG across the season. This imbalance significantly supports the Both Teams to Score market.
The combined shots-on-target averages of both teams comfortably exceed the 7.5 threshold, indicating sustained attacking sequences throughout the match. Lyon’s territorial control and Nice’s transitional threat suggest an open rhythm rather than a low-block scenario.
Second-half goals are also statistically supported. As intensity rises and defensive concentration drops, both teams’ structures tend to loosen. Given Nice’s high xG conceded and Lyon’s home attacking momentum, additional goals after halftime remain a realistic projection. Overall, the data supports a dynamic, multi-goal contest with consistent shooting volume.
Statistical Table
| Metric | Lyon | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| FotMob rating (league rank) | 7.01 (3rd) | 6.73 (14th) |
| Goals per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average possession | 54.9% | 48.2% |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 3 |
| Average attendance | 49,593 | 21,653 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 34.5 | 25.8 |
| xG difference | 10.3 | -11.3 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Big chances | 59 | 50 |
| Big chances missed | 36 | 36 |
| Accurate passes per match | 397.6 | 357.1 |
| Accurate long balls per match | 22.6 | 19.1 |
| Accurate crosses per match | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Penalties awarded | 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box | 523 | 412 |
| Corners | 120 | 107 |
| xG conceded | 24.1 | 37.0 |
| Interceptions per match | 7.4 | 9.2 |
| Tackles per match | 14.6 | 15.1 |
| Clearances per match | 23.6 | 27.3 |
| Possession won final 3rd | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Penalties conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saves per match | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| Fouls per match | 14.0 | 12.8 |
| Yellow cards | 37 | 46 |
| Red cards | 6 | 2 |
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