Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart

FB Pokal Final
Venue: Olympiastadion Berlin
Referee: Sven Jablonski

Picks

1. Bet Builder — total odds: 2.01
   • VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 corners
   • Over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half

The DFB Pokal Final at the Olympiastadion in Berlin creates a specific match dynamic, because Bayern München’s dominant attacking profile meets a Stuttgart side that are not simply a passive defensive underdog. Stuttgart have their own possession base, strong attacking volume, and clear wide-play output, which makes this bet builder logically connected. Stuttgart have enough offensive structure to win at least three corners, while the second half should naturally become more open, supporting over 1.5 second-half goals.

Bayern’s attacking numbers are extreme. They average 3.6 goals per match, have generated 100.7 xG, created 166 big chances, recorded 1,395 touches in the opposition box, and produced 216 corners. These numbers show not only dominance, but constant pressure. In a final, that means Stuttgart may be forced into longer defensive phases, but it does not eliminate their attacking presence. In fact, Bayern’s high-possession and advanced structure can leave spaces behind the ball, especially when Stuttgart transition quickly or attack through wide areas.

Stuttgart’s statistical profile strongly supports the over 2.5 corners selection. Their 57.8% possession, 60.4 xG, 6.1 shots on target per match, 109 big chances, and 963 touches in the opposition box show that this is not a low-volume attacking side. The most important numbers for this market are their 193 corners and 5.2 accurate crosses per match, which indicate a team that regularly attacks wide areas. Crosses, blocked deliveries, deflections, and defensive clearances are all natural sources of corners. A 2.5 corner line does not require Stuttgart to dominate the match; it only requires them to produce a few sustained attacking phases.

The second leg of the bet builder, over 1.5 goals in the second half, also fits the expected game flow very well. Finals can start cautiously, but second halves often become more open because the scoreline forces decisions. If Bayern are ahead, Stuttgart must take more risks. If Stuttgart keep the match level, Bayern are likely to increase pressure. If the game remains tight, the final 30 minutes should bring more aggressive substitutions, more transition moments, and more space. With Bayern averaging 3.6 goals and Stuttgart 2.1, and with the two sides combining for 14.6 shots on target per match, this matchup has the attacking base required for late goals.

Stuttgart’s defensive profile also supports second-half scoring. They are a strong side, but 51.0 xG conceded and 1.4 goals conceded per match show that under elite pressure, they can be exposed. Bayern’s level of attacking volume can increase defensive fatigue over time, especially in a final where concentration and physical intensity drop late. At the same time, Bayern are not completely untouchable defensively either. Their 42.0 xG conceded and 13 set-piece goals conceded show that Stuttgart have a realistic route to create chances, particularly through wide attacks and dead-ball situations.

Statistical Comparison