Main Pick: Both Teams to Score – YES

By reader request – for those who like to bet on more options! But I always recommend the Main Pick.

Second Pick: Over 2.5 goals

Special Pick: Over 8.5 corners in the match

Reasoning:

Venue: Bravida Arena, Gothenburg
Referee: Maqedonci G. (Sweden)

Round 18 of the Allsvenskan brings us an intriguing clash between Häcken and Elfsborg, two teams with different playing styles but fairly similar standings. Häcken plays a possession-oriented game (3rd in league with 57.6% possession), while Elfsborg thrives on pace and direct play (only 46.1% possession, 12th).

Defensively, neither side is top-tier. Häcken concedes 1.8 goals per match (12th), and Elfsborg concedes 1.3 (7th). Offensively, both are dangerous – Häcken averages 5.0 shots on target, Elfsborg 4.7. Both create chances consistently, with Häcken at 35 big chances and Elfsborg at 47.

Expected goals (xG) are close (Häcken 24.8, Elfsborg 27.8), as are xGA (Häcken 25.5, Elfsborg 23.6), pointing to an open, balanced match.

Notably, Häcken is strong at home and leads the league in successful tackles (13.1 per match) – crucial against an aggressive and high-pressing Elfsborg. But Elfsborg can be dangerous on the counter and has a slightly better defensive setup.

Statistics Table (Häcken vs Elfsborg):

Stat CategoryHäckenElfsborg
FotMob rating6.89 (8th)6.87 (9th)
Goals per match1.51.8
Goals conceded per match1.81.3
Expected goals (xG)24.827.8
Expected goals conceded (xGA)25.523.6
Average possession57.6% (3rd)46.1% (12th)
Shots on target per match5.04.7
Big chances created3547
Accurate passes per match482.6 (2nd)307.3 (11th)
Successful tackles per match13.1 (1st)10.2 (14th)
Touches in opposition box449448
Fouls per match11.3 (15th)14.5 (1st)
Yellow cards41 (2nd)35 (9th)
Red cards20

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Resources Used for Betting Analysis:
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