Main pick: Under 2.5 goals

Secondary pick: Both Teams to Score : No

Special pick: Östers over 4.5 yellow cards

Allsvenskan – Round 21
Venue: Visma Arena (Växjö)
Referee: Fredrik Klitte (SWE)
 
Reasoning:

Östers are among the weakest attacking sides in the league: just 0.8 goals per match, 2.6 shots on target, and a total xG of only 20.7 this season. With just 44.5% possession, they rarely dominate matches, relying more on compact defence and physical play.

Norrköping are stronger offensively (1.6 goals per game, 27.4 xG), but their away form is shaky and their defence unreliable (1.9 goals conceded per game, only 2 clean sheets all season). They often struggle to convert chances, leading to low-scoring games.

Östers compensate for their lack of creativity with aggression – they commit 13.8 fouls per game and have the most yellow cards in the league (54). Referee Fredrik Klitte is strict in issuing cards, making this match likely to be full of fouls and bookings.

Overall, this looks like a tight, low-scoring contest, where it is likely that only one side finds the net. A 1-0 or 0-1 scoreline seems the most probable outcome.


Statistical table (league performance)

MetricÖsters IFIFK Norrköping
FotMob rating6.68 (13th)6.80 (12th)
Goals/match0.8 (16th)1.6 (5th)
Goals conceded/match1.3 (7th)1.9 (13th)
Possession44.5% (14th)48.2% (9th)
xG20.7 (16th)27.4 (11th)
Shots on target/match2.6 (16th)4.2 (10th)
Big chances34 (15th)37 (12th)
Big chances missed25 (9th)18 (16th)
Corners89 (15th)101 (12th)
Fouls/match13.8 (3rd)12.4 (12th)
Yellow cards54 (1st)41 (10th)
 

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