USA vs Germany

International Friendly Match
Venue: Soldier Field
Referee: Piero Maza

Picks

1. Both Teams to Score — Yes @ 1.51

When analyzing USA vs Germany, it is important to note that the statistical base comes from different official competitions: USA’s data comes from the latest CONCACAF Gold Cup, while Germany’s numbers come from World Cup qualification. Because of that, the figures should not be compared in a completely direct way, but they are still very useful as a guide to each team’s current playing profile. The both teams to score selection is logical in this matchup because both sides show strong attacking volume, while the friendly match context usually creates a more open and less risk-averse game state.

USA’s Gold Cup numbers show a very strong attacking profile. They averaged 2.2 goals per match, produced 11.2 xG, recorded 5.8 shots on target per game, created 23 big chances, and registered 148 touches in the opposition box. These numbers indicate a team that regularly creates quality attacking situations. Their 59.4% possession and 425.8 accurate passes per match also show that they are not purely a counterattacking side; they can build controlled attacking phases as well. At Soldier Field, in a home environment, that matters because USA are unlikely to approach the match in a fully passive way, even against Germany.

The home goal is also supported by USA’s attacking variety. Their 31 corners, 4.2 accurate crosses per match, and 2 set-piece goals show that they have multiple routes to create danger. Germany’s defensive qualification numbers were very strong, with only 0.5 goals conceded per match and 3.3 xG conceded, but in a friendly match, with expected rotation, travel factors, and a lower defensive intensity than competitive fixtures, those numbers do not completely remove the possibility of a USA goal.

Germany’s attacking profile naturally supports the BTTS market as well. They averaged 2.7 goals per match in qualification, generated 15.0 xG, recorded 6.2 shots on target per game, and created 25 big chances. Their 73.1% possession and 615.8 accurate passes per match show elite control, meaning Germany should be able to spend long periods in the USA half. That alone provides a strong foundation for a German goal.

USA’s defense was not poor in the Gold Cup, but it was not fully suppressive either. They conceded 1.0 goal per match and allowed 4.9 xG, which is acceptable, but Germany’s attacking quality is a different level compared with most CONCACAF opponents. Germany’s 5 set-piece goals, 35 corners, and 217 touches in the opposition box show that they can create chances through several routes. If USA play with more attacking ambition at home, that may also open transition spaces for Germany.

The friendly nature of the match is especially important for a both teams to score selection. In these fixtures, teams often test more players, second-half substitutions disrupt defensive structure, and defensive concentration rarely stays at the same level as in qualifiers or tournament knockout games. This supports a market that does not require a high-scoring match, only one successful attacking sequence from each side.

Referee Piero Maza may also be relevant to the game flow. As a South American referee, he is used to intense matches with duels and momentum shifts. While no specific referee statistics were provided here, a USA vs Germany friendly is unlikely to be defined by extreme stoppages, which can help attacking rhythm and indirectly support the BTTS angle.

Team Statistical Table

Note

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